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The evangelical vote: It’s McCain by a landslide

November 5, 2008 by MethodistThinker

Ted Olsen at Christianity Today, using exit polling results from CNN, reports that among voters who described themselves as “evangelical” or “born again,” Sen. John McCain pulled 74 percent of the vote.

Sen. Barack Obama received only 26 percent, performing about the same among conservative Christians as Democratic standard-bearer John Kerry did in 2004.

(The difference, of course, is that Sen. Obama won, assisted by a strong turnout among black voters. Sen. Obama received nearly 3.3 million more votes from African-Americans than Sen. Kerry did; 2.9 million of them were from voters aged 18-29. Overall, blacks voted 95 percent for Sen. Obama.)

crossflame_election08What the exit polls show is that the Obama candidacy, despite an abundance of speculation to the contrary, failed to make significant inroads into the conservative Christian voting bloc, which is strongest in the southeast and south central parts of the country.

(Not surprisingly, these areas are where the United Methodist Church has its strongest conferences and largest jurisdictions).

The poor Democratic showings among evangelicals likely will continue until the Democratic party finally moves toward a less extreme position on abortion. The current position (“we oppose any and all efforts to weaken or undermine [the] right [to an abortion]“) puts the party squarely at odds with the biblical view of the sanctity of unborn human life.

Other polling data indicate that non-evangelical Protestants also favored McCain. In contrast, Sen. Obama ran strong among the irreligious, garnering more than two-thirds of the vote among people who never attend church. He also pulled 53 percent among those who attend worship services only irregularly.

Remarkably, the pro-abortion Sen. Obama captured 53 percent of the Catholic vote, a six-point improvement over Sen. Kerry’s showing in 2004, despite urgent calls from Catholic leaders to vote pro-life. Still, McCain won a majority of Catholics who attend worship regularly.

Jewish voters, a reliably Democratic voting bloc in the U.S., went 77 percent for Obama-Biden, helping the ticket gain wins in New York, California, New Jersey, and Florida. (Jews in Israel, by contrast, are far less sanguine about an Obama presidency.)

Here are the evangelical tallies by state (the first percentage represents the voters in each state who self-identified as evangelical or born again; no data is available for Alaska, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Vermont):

  • Alabama
  • 46% Evangelical
    88% McCain
    11% Obama

electionmap_counties

Obama - Blue | McCain - Red
(by county)

  • Arizona
  • 21% Evangelical
    77% McCain
    23% Obama

  • Arkansas
  • 53% Evangelical
    72% McCain
    25% Obama

  • California
  • 17% Evangelical
    70% McCain
    26% Obama

  • Colorado
  • 22% Evangelical
    75% McCain
    22% Obama

  • Florida
  • 24% Evangelical
    78% McCain
    20% Obama

  • Georgia
  • 37% Evangelical
    89% McCain
    10% for Obama

  • Idaho
  • 33% Evangelical
    80% McCain
    18% Obama

  • Illinois
  • 22% Evangelical
    59% McCain
    40% Obama

  • Indiana
  • 41% evangelical
    66% for McCain
    32% for Obama

  • Iowa
  • 30% Evangelical
    60% McCain
    38% Obama

  • Kansas
  • 40% Evangelical
    78% McCain
    22% Obama

  • Kentucky
  • 45% Evangelical
    74% for McCain
    25% for Obama

  • Louisiana
  • 29% Evangelical
    87% McCain
    9% Obama

  • Michigan
  • 27% Evangelical
    63% McCain
    34% Obama

  • Minnesota
  • 28% Evangelical
    60% McCain
    38% Obama

  • Mississippi
  • 43% Evangelical
    90% McCain
    9% Obama

  • Missouri
  • 38% Evangelical
    67% McCain
    32% Obama

  • Montana
  • 30% Evangelical
    72% McCain
    23% Obama

  • Nebraska
  • 30% Evangelical
    71% McCain
    28% Obama

  • Nevada
  • 16% Evangelical
    73% McCain
    25% Obama

  • New Mexico
  • 16% Evangelical
    81% McCain
    17% Obama

  • New York
  • 9% Evangelical
    77% McCain
    21% Obama

  • North Carolina
  • 42% Evangelical
    74% for McCain
    25% for Obama

  • North Dakota
  • 31% Evangelical
    73% McCain
    26% Obama

  • Ohio
  • 30% Evangelical
    70% for McCain
    29% for Obama

  • Oklahoma
  • 52% Evangelical
    77% McCain
    22% Obama

  • Oregon
  • 27% Evangelical
    66% McCain
    31% Obama

  • South Carolina
  • 39% Evangelical
    84% for McCain
    16% for Obama

  • South Dakota
  • 37% Evangelical
    63% McCain
    33% Obama

  • Tennessee
  • 51% Evangelical
    75% McCain
    22% Obama

  • Texas
  • 31% Evangelical
    79% McCain
    19% Obama

  • Utah
  • No numbers on evangelicals, but Mormons voted 80% for McCain.

  • Virginia
  • 27% Evangelical
    78% McCain
    21% Obama

  • Washington
  • 24% Evangelical
    64% McCain
    32% Obama

  • West Virginia
  • 52% Evangelical
    64% McCain
    34% Obama

  • Wisconsin
  • 26% Evangelical
    64% McCain
    36% Obama

  • Wyoming
  • 28% Evangelical
    80% McCain
    17% Obama

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